docs
How markets resolve
Every market on LEITAI settles by the rules on this page. They are published before any bet is placed, printed on every market page, and never changed for a market that is already open. If you disagree with a rule, don't bet the market. If we break a rule, call it out publicly: every resolution ships with proof.
The data source
Markets settle on the trader's 1-day realized PnL as reported by GMGN, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for that trader, read at the 00:00 UTC close. GMGN is the reference the scene already uses to argue about who printed; we adopt their number instead of inventing our own so anyone can check the resolution with one click.
A human admin confirms every result and posts the GMGN link or screenshot as public proof on the market page. The live PnL shown on cards during the day comes from the same source, refreshed hourly; it is informational and never resolves anything by itself.
Market types
Five types, one data source. Each links to its own page with the edge cases spelled out.
quick h2h
full pageResolves YES if Trader A's realized PnL gained more than Trader B's DURING THIS WINDOW ONLY. Both PnLs are zeroed at the open: we record each trader's cumulative realized PnL (summed across their tracked wallets, read via Mobula) when the window opens and read it again at the bell; only the difference counts. If the two end the window dead even, nobody out-earned anybody: the market voids and every bet is refunded in full. Settlement is automatic, seconds after the close, and the numbers go in the resolution note. If the wallets can't be read cleanly at the bell, the market voids and every bet is refunded in full. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit and all of it is burned.
green day
full pageResolves YES if the day's realized PnL is above zero. Zero PnL (no trades) counts as NO. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.
target
full pageResolves YES if the day's realized PnL is at least +$20K. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.
head to head
full pageResolves YES if Trader A's day PnL is strictly higher than Trader B's. A dead tie voids the market and every bet is refunded in full. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.
top KOL
full pagePick the trader you think ends the day with the highest realized PnL across the whole card. Everyone who picked the king splits the pot of everyone who did not, in proportion to their stake. The king is decided at 00:00 UTC by the same token-by-token read that settles every other market (Mobula). A dead tie at the top, nobody on the king, or everybody on the king: the market voids and every bet is refunded in full. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit and all of it is burned.
volume
full pageResolves YES if the trader's 1-day trade count reaches 3000, counted on the same GMGN wallets. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.
The payout math
Markets are parimutuel: all YES bets form one pool, all NO bets form the other. When the market resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losing pool, proportional to what they put in. There is no house taking the other side of your bet; you are betting against everyone on the other side.
worked example, a bet under $100 (fee 10%):
YES pool: 1,000,000 · NO pool: 400,000 · YES wins
your YES bet: 100,000
profit = 400,000 x (100,000 / 1,000,000) = 40,000
fee = 10% of profit = 4,000
you receive = 100,000 + 40,000 - 4,000 = 136,000
The fee applies only to profit. Your stake is never taxed. Lose and you pay nothing beyond the bet itself. The rate is 10% for stakes under $100, 5% under $1,000 and 3% above, locked at the moment you bet. Every fee collected is burned; the platform keeps none. Details on payouts and fees.
Voids and refunds
Markets void, with every bet refunded in full and zero fee, when any of these happens:
- One side of the pool ends empty. No opponent, no market.
- A reliable PnL number can't be verified within 2 hours of the close.
- The tracked trader visibly rotates to a wallet the source doesn't cover mid-day.
- An admin voids it manually for a stated, public reason before resolution.
Refunds are automatic, sent to the same wallet the bet came from. There is no claim button anywhere in the product.
Timing
- Markets open at 00:00 UTC and close at 00:00 UTC the next day.
- A bet counts only after its transfer is confirmed on-chain before the close. Block time decides, not your click.
- Resolution happens within 2 hours of the close, or the market voids.
- Payouts go out automatically after resolution.
Verify everything
All bets land in one treasury wallet, published in the footer of this site. Every bet in and every payout out is a plain ERC-20 transfer on BNB Smart Chain, visible on any explorer. The math above is deterministic: pool sizes are public on every market page, so anyone can recompute every payout to the token.