market type · head to head

Head to head

Two KOLs, same day, one number each. Pick who ends up on top.

The question

Will Cented out-earn Cupsey today?

That is the exact wording used on the market card. It is frozen when the market opens.

What you are betting on

Two traders, both measured on the same day with the same rule, and the market asks whether the first one finishes with a higher PnL than the second.

The nice part is that it cancels the day out. If the whole market rips, both of them are probably green, and the bet still comes down to which of the two actually traded better.

How it resolves

Resolves YES if Cented's day PnL is strictly higher than Cupsey's. A dead tie voids the market and every bet is refunded in full. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.

This is the same text printed on every market of this type, generated from the same source as the product. If it ever disagrees with a market page, the market page is wrong and you should say so publicly.

Edge cases that decide money

  • A dead tie is a push. Nobody out-earned anybody, so the market voids and every bet comes back in full, no fee.
  • Both can be red. If both lose money, the one who lost less wins the market. Least bad still wins.
  • If either trader's number cannot be verified, the whole market voids and everyone gets their bet back.

Reading the market

This is the market the timeline is already arguing about, which is why it is the most fun one to hold. It also punishes lazy betting the hardest: you now need a read on two traders instead of one, and the crowd usually just picks whoever is more famous.

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