market type · target

Target

Green is not enough. Does the trader clear an actual number.

The question

Will Cupsey print +$50K today?

That is the exact wording used on the market card. It is frozen when the market opens.

What you are betting on

Same day, same data, higher bar. The market names a dollar figure and asks whether the trader's realized PnL reaches it.

This is where a green day and a good day stop being the same bet. A trader can close up eight hundred dollars and still blow this market to pieces on the NO side.

How it resolves

Resolves YES if the day's realized PnL is at least +$50K. Settled on the 1-day realized PnL that GMGN reports for the trader, summed across every wallet GMGN tracks for them, at the 00:00 UTC close. An admin posts the GMGN link as public proof with the result. If a reliable number can't be pulled within 2 hours, the market is voided and everyone gets their bet back. The fee (up to 10%, lower for bigger stakes) applies only to winners' profit, never to the amount you bet, and all of it is burned. Only GMGN decides this market: the same trader can finish the day green on one platform and red on another, because each one tracks a different set of wallets.

This is the same text printed on every market of this type, generated from the same source as the product. If it ever disagrees with a market page, the market page is wrong and you should say so publicly.

Edge cases that decide money

  • The bar is inclusive. Land exactly on the number and it resolves YES.
  • The target is frozen when the market opens and never moves, no matter what happens during the day.
  • A trader can be very green and still miss. Green day and target are separate markets and settle independently.

Reading the market

Targets are where the board gets interesting, because the crowd tends to price them like green day markets. People see a name they respect and buy YES without checking whether that trader has cleared that number more than twice this month. Go look. The answer is usually on the leaderboard.

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